In a significant development for the mining sector, Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) and Glencore are reportedly in early-stage discussions about a potential merger, according to sources close to the matter. If the merger proceeds, it would create a global mining giant valued at approximately $155 billion (A$250 billion), surpassing BHP (ASX: BHP), the current leader in the industry, valued at around $126 billion.
The potential deal raises important questions, particularly due to the contrasting portfolios of the two companies. Glencore is the world’s largest seller of thermal coal and a major producer of coking coal, while Rio Tinto divested its coal assets in 2018, focusing on its shift towards sustainability and a goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. This difference in strategy could lead to challenges in integrating the companies’ operations, particularly regarding Glencore’s coal business and Rio’s commitment to sustainable mining.
A combined entity would strengthen the companies’ positions in copper, with Glencore’s extensive global mining assets complementing Rio’s copper holdings. This would give the merged company a copper portfolio comparable to BHP’s, which recently made significant investments in South American copper projects, including a $2.1 billion acquisition. BHP is also planning substantial investments in Chile, the world’s leading copper producer, to further expand its copper output.
The idea of a merger between Rio Tinto and Glencore is not entirely new. The two companies explored such a deal in 2014, when Glencore made an approach to Rio, which was rejected. However, the ongoing consolidation in the mining industry—highlighted by BHP’s failed $49 billion bid for Anglo American in 2023—may have rekindled discussions. Analysts from RBC Capital speculate that any potential deal would likely involve complex negotiations to address shareholder concerns, particularly given Rio Tinto’s focus on sustainability and Glencore’s larger coal assets.
Both companies have declined to comment publicly on the reports, but the mining industry is closely watching these developments as major players continue to explore strategic mergers and acquisitions in the wake of shifting global demand for critical minerals.