Fed struggles to assess state of US economy as government shutdown shuts off key data

When it comes to setting monetary policy for the world’s largest economy, what data drives decision-making? In ordinary times, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee, which usually meets eight times a year, have a wealth of information at their disposal, including key statistics such as monthly employment […]

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Fed, under pressure to cut rates, tries to balance labor market and inflation – while avoiding dreaded stagflation

The Federal Reserve is in a nearly impossible spot right now. Markets are expecting a quarter-point interest rate cut to a range of 4% to 4.25% when the Fed policy-setting committee concludes its latest meeting on Sept. 17, 2025. After all, the slowdown in the jobs market, as well as a massive revision to past […]

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Inflation is heating up again, putting pressure on Trump to cool it on tariffs

Inflation figures released on Feb. 12, 2025, will come as a disappointment to Americans who hoped President Donald Trump would be true to his word on bringing down prices “on Day One.” It will also put pressure on the new administration to be wary of policies that may heat up inflation – and that includes […]

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Trump’s opening tariff salvo will hurt US consumers − following through on Canada, Mexico threats will increase the price pain

If U.S. voters reelected Donald Trump hoping for relief from higher prices, his recent threats to impose tariffs on America’s three largest trade partners might make them think again. On Saturday, Feb. 1, Trump announced 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and 10% tariffs on China, which he said would take effect on Tuesday, Feb. […]

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